Publications

Evaluating the Health Economic Impacts of Baloxavir Marboxil and Oseltamivir for the Treatment of Influenza in Adult Outpatients in Hong Kong: A Cost‐Effectiveness Analysis

Published in Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses, 2026

Recommended citation: Chen, Ruohan, Zengyang Shao, Kaiming Bi, Benjamin John Cowling, and Zhanwei Du. "Evaluating the Health Economic Impacts of Baloxavir Marboxil and Oseltamivir for the Treatment of Influenza in Adult Outpatients in Hong Kong: A Cost‐Effectiveness Analysis." Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses 20, no. 3 (2026): e70243.

Estimated impact of 2022–2023 influenza vaccines on annual hospital burden in the United States

Published in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 2025

Recommended citation: Bi, Kaiming, Shraddha Ramdas Bandekar, Anass Bouchnita, Annalise Cramer, Spencer J. Fox, Rebecca K. Borchering, Matthew Biggerstaff, and Lauren Ancel Meyers. "Estimated impact of 2022–2023 influenza vaccines on annual hospital burden in the United States." Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 122, no. 46 (2025): e2505175122.

Scenario Projections of COVID-19 Burden in the US, 2024-2025

Published in JAMA network open, 2025

Recommended citation: Loo, Sara L., Sung-mok Jung, Lucie Contamin, Emily Howerton, Samantha J. Bents, Harry Hochheiser, Michael C. Runge et al. "Scenario Projections of COVID-19 Burden in the US, 2024-2025." JAMA network open 8, no. 9 (2025): e2532469.

Modeling the impact of MMR vaccination strategies on measles outbreaks in Texas

Published in JAMA Health Forum , 2025

Recommended citation: Bi, Kaiming, Thuy Nguyen, Boya Peng, Trudy Krause, Cecilia Ganduglia Cazaban, Janelle Rios, Cici Bauer, Catherine Troisi, Eric Boerwinkle, and Aanand D. Naik. "Modeling the impact of MMR vaccination strategies on measles outbreaks in Texas." In JAMA Health Forum, vol. 6, no. 9, pp. e253992-e253992. American Medical Association, 2025.

Annual Hospitalizations for COVID-19, Influenza, and Respiratory Syncytial Virus, United States, 2023–2024

Published in Emerging infectious diseases, 2025

Recommended citation: Kaiming B, Bandekar SR, Bouchnita A, Fox SJ, Ancel Meyers L. Annual hospitalizations for COVID-19, influenza, and respiratory syncytial virus, United States, 2023–2024. Emerg Infect Dis. 2025 Mar [date cited]. https://doi.org/10.3201/eid3103.240594

The interplay between evolutionary and immunological dynamics regulates virus variant emergence and competition

Published in Mathematical Modelling of Natural Phenomena, 2025

Recommended citation: Bouchnita Anass, Bandekar Shraddha, Bi Kaiming et al. "The interplay between evolutionary and immunological dynamics regulates virus variant emergence and competition." Mathematical Modelling of Natural Phenomena, no. 6 (2025)

Evaluating the Health Economic Impacts of Baloxavir Marboxil and Oseltamivir for the Treatment of Influenza in Adult Outpatients in Hong Kong: A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis

Published in SSRN, 2025

Recommended citation: Chen, Ruohan, Zengyang Shao, Kaiming Bi, Benjamin J. Cowling, and Zhanwei Du. "Evaluating the Health Economic Impacts of Baloxavir Marboxil and Oseltamivir for the Treatment of Influenza in Adult Outpatients in Hong Kong: A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis." Available at SSRN 5085546.

Potential impact of annual vaccination with reformulated COVID-19 vaccines: Lessons from the US COVID-19 scenario modeling hub

Published in PLoS medicine, 2024

Recommended citation: Jung, Sung-mok, Sara L. Loo, Emily Howerton, Lucie Contamin, Claire P. Smith, Erica C. Carcelén, Katie Yan et al. "Potential impact of annual vaccination with reformulated COVID-19 vaccines: Lessons from the US COVID-19 scenario modeling hub." PLoS medicine 21, no. 4 (2024): e1004387.

Projecting Omicron scenarios in the US while tracking population-level immunity

Published in Epidemics, 2024

Recommended citation: Bouchnita, Anass, Kaiming Bi, Spencer J. Fox, and Lauren Ancel Meyers. "Projecting Omicron scenarios in the US while tracking population-level immunity." Epidemics 46 (2024): 100746.

Evaluation of the US COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub for informing pandemic response under uncertainty

Published in Nature communications, 2023

Recommended citation: Howerton, Emily, Lucie Contamin, Luke C. Mullany, Michelle Qin, Nicholas G. Reich, Samantha Bents, Rebecca K. Borchering et al. "Evaluation of the US COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub for informing pandemic response under uncertainty." Nature communications 14, no. 1 (2023): 7260.

Scenario Projections for SARS-CoV-2, Influenza, and RSV Burden in the US (2023-2024)

Published in Researchsquare, 2023

Recommended citation: Meyers, Lauren, Kaiming Bi, Shraddha Bandekar, Anass Bouchnita, and Spencer Fox. "Scenario Projections for SARS-CoV-2, Influenza, and RSV Burden in the US (2023-2024)." (2023).

Impact of high-risk and low-risk population on COVID-19 dynamics considering antimicrobial resistance and control strategies

Published in The European Physical Journal Plus, 2023

Recommended citation: Bandekar, Shraddha Ramdas, Mini Ghosh, and Kaiming Bi. "Impact of high-risk and low-risk population on COVID-19 dynamics considering antimicrobial resistance and control strategies." The European Physical Journal Plus 138, no. 8 (2023): 697.

The risk of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant emergence in low and middle-income countries (LMICs)

Published in Epidemics, 2023

Recommended citation: Bi, Kaiming, Jose Luis Herrera-Diestra, Yuan Bai, Zhanwei Du, Lin Wang, Graham Gibson, Maureen Johnson-Leon, Spencer J. Fox, and Lauren Ancel Meyers. "The risk of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant emergence in low and middle-income countries (LMICs)." Epidemics 42 (2023): 100660.

Scenario projections for the spread of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron BA. 4 and BA. 5 subvariants in the US and Texas

Published in UT Austin Report, 2022

Recommended citation: Bi, Kaiming, Anass Bouchnita, Oluwaseun F. Egbelowo, Spencer Fox, Michael Lachmann, and Lauren Ancel Meyers. "Scenario projections for the spread of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron BA. 4 and BA. 5 subvariants in the US and Texas." (2022).

Learning-based impulse control with event-triggered conditions for an epidemic dynamic system

Published in Communications in Nonlinear Science and Numerical Simulation, 2022

Recommended citation: Bi, Kaiming, Yuyang Chen, Chih-Hang John Wu, and David Ben-Arieh. "Learning-based impulse control with event-triggered conditions for an epidemic dynamic system." Communications in Nonlinear Science and Numerical Simulation 108 (2022): 106204.

An Improved Mathematical Model of Sepsis: Modeling, Bifurcation Analysis, and Optimal Control Study for Complex Nonlinear Infectious Disease System

Published in Arxiv, 2022

Recommended citation: Chen, Yuyang, Kaiming Bi, Chih-Hang J. Wu, David Ben-Arieh, and Ashesh Sinha. "An Improved Mathematical Model of Sepsis: Modeling, Bifurcation Analysis, and Optimal Control Study for Complex Nonlinear Infectious Disease System." arXiv preprint arXiv:2201.02702 (2022).

High dimensional Bayesian Optimization Algorithm for Complex System in Time Series

Published in Arxiv, 2021

Recommended citation: Chen, Yuyang, Kaiming Bi, Chih-Hang J. Wu, David Ben-Arieh, and Ashesh Sinha. "A New Bayesian Optimization Algorithm for Complex High-Dimensional Disease Epidemic Systems." arXiv preprint arXiv:2108.02289 (2021).

A New Bayesian Optimization Algorithm for Complex High-Dimensional Disease Epidemic Systems

Published in Arxiv, 2021

Recommended citation: Chen, Yuyang, Kaiming Bi, Chih-Hang J. Wu, David Ben-Arieh, and Ashesh Sinha. "A New Bayesian Optimization Algorithm for Complex High-Dimensional Disease Epidemic Systems." arXiv preprint arXiv:2108.00062 (2021).

Additive manufacturing embraces big data

Published in Progress in Additive Manufacturing, 2021

Recommended citation: Bi, Kaiming, Dong Lin, Yiliang Liao, Chih-Hang Wu, and Pedram Parandoush. "Additive manufacturing embraces big data." Progress in Additive Manufacturing (2021): 1-17.

A new zoonotic visceral leishmaniasis dynamic transmission model with age-structure

Published in Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, 2020

Recommended citation: Bi, Kaiming, Yuyang Chen, Songnian Zhao, David Ben-Arieh, and Chih-Hang John Wu. "A new zoonotic visceral leishmaniasis dynamic transmission model with age-structure." Chaos, Solitons & Fractals 133 (2020): 109622.

A Memetic Algorithm for Solving Optimal Control Problems of Zika Virus Epidemic with Equilibriums and Backward Bifurcation Analysis

Published in Communications in Nonlinear Science and Numerical Simulation, 2020

Recommended citation: Bi, Kaiming, Yuyang Chen, Chih-Hang John Wu, and David Ben-Arieh. "A Memetic Algorithm for Solving Optimal Control Problems of Zika Virus Epidemic with Equilibriums and Backward Bifurcation Analysis." Communications in Nonlinear Science and Numerical Simulation (2020): 105176.

A new evidence-based optimal control in healthcare delivery: A better clinical treatment management for septic patients

Published in Computers & Industrial Engineering, 2019

Recommended citation: Chen, Yuyang, Kaiming Bi, Chih-Hang John Wu, and David Ben-Arieh. "A new evidence-based optimal control in healthcare delivery: A better clinical treatment management for septic patients." Computers & Industrial Engineering 137 (2019): 106010.

Modeling learning and forgetting processes with the corresponding impacts on human behaviors in infectious disease epidemics

Published in Computers & Industrial Engineering, 2019

Recommended citation: Bi, Kaiming, Yuyang Chen, Songnian Zhao, David Ben-Arieh, and Chih-Hang John Wu. "Modeling learning and forgetting processes with the corresponding impacts on human behaviors in infectious disease epidemics." Computers & Industrial Engineering 129 (2019): 563-577.

Current visceral leishmaniasis research: a research review to inspire future study

Published in BioMed research international, 2018

Recommended citation: Bi, Kaiming, Yuyang Chen, Songnian Zhao, Yan Kuang, and Chih-Hang John Wu. "Current visceral leishmaniasis research: a research review to inspire future study." BioMed research international 2018 (2018).

Risk perception and human behaviors in epidemics

Published in IISE Transactions on Healthcare Systems Engineering, 2018

Recommended citation: Zhao, Songnian, Yan Kuang, Chih-Hang Wu, Kaiming Bi, and David Ben-Arieh. "Risk perception and human behaviors in epidemics." IISE Transactions on Healthcare Systems Engineering 8, no. 4 (2018): 315-328.

Modeling individual fear factor with optimal control in a disease-dynamic system

Published in Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, 2017

Recommended citation: Chen, Yuyang, Kaiming Bi, Songnian Zhao, David Ben-Arieh, and Chih-Hang John Wu. "Modeling individual fear factor with optimal control in a disease-dynamic system." Chaos, Solitons & Fractals 104 (2017): 531-545.

Zoonotic visceral leishmaniasis transmission: modeling, backward bifurcation, and optimal control

Published in Journal of mathematical biology, 2016

Recommended citation: Zhao, Songnian, Yan Kuang, Chih-Hang Wu, David Ben-Arieh, Marcelo Ramalho-Ortigao, and Kaiming Bi. "Zoonotic visceral leishmaniasis transmission: modeling, backward bifurcation, and optimal control." Journal of mathematical biology 73, no. 6-7 (2016): 1525-1560.